"Crystal Ball or Cracked Mirror?
Oscar predictions for 2024
by Industry Maestros"
Cap: actor
Cillian Murphy in a scene from "Oppenheimer." Big names and even bigger films will compete for significant
distinction at the 96th annual Academy Awards on Sunday. Among the candidates
are box office record-breakers, Hollywood veterans, rookies, and multiple epic
dramas. The Oscar ballot for 2024 looks like it will be a fascinating evening.
Therefore, professionals in the entertainment industry predicted the results of
several of the top categories before of the presentation.
Who
will win the Oscar for best picture?
"Oppenheimer" is the overwhelming favourite to take home
the best picture Oscar. With 13 nominations, Christopher Nolan's epic
historical drama about the nuclear physicist dubbed "the father of the
atomic bomb" tops the field for the Academy Awards.
It has also already won every precursor prize at previous award shows this
season, including those from the Screen Actors Guild, Directors Guild,
Producers Guild, British Academy, Critics Choice, and Golden Globes in
comparable categories. These victories provide important clues about how the
film will perform in Sunday's best picture competition.
The fact that "Oppenheimer" has swept makes me believe that there would be a major upset if it did not win, according to Lilliana Vazquez, a television presenter and lifestyle expert who once presented E! News. "I believe you really have to watch out for that specific picture, in whatever category, or that particular actor or actress," the speaker said. "That's always a really important indicator, if all of the individual guilds can join together and proclaim a clear winner."
Rarely do films acquire this kind of widespread industry backing; those that
do, like "Argo" and "Slumdog Millionaire" in recent years,
usually go on to win the Academy Award.
Who
will win the Oscar for best picture?
"Oppenheimer" is the overwhelming favourite to
take home the best picture Oscar. With 13 nominations, Christopher Nolan's epic
historical drama about the nuclear physicist dubbed "the father of the
atomic bomb" tops the field for the Academy Awards.
It has also already won every precursor prize at previous award shows this
season, including those from the Screen Actors Guild, Directors Guild,
Producers Guild, British Academy, Critics Choice, and Golden Globes in
comparable categories. These victories provide important clues about how the
film will perform in Sunday's best picture competition.
The fact that "Oppenheimer" has swept makes me
believe that there would be a major upset if it did not win, according to
Lilliana Vazquez, a television presenter and lifestyle expert who once
presented E! News. "I believe you really have to watch out for that
specific picture, in whatever category, or that particular actor or
actress," the speaker said. "That's always a really important
indicator, if all of the individual guilds can join together and proclaim a
clear winner."
Rarely do films acquire this kind of widespread industry backing; those that
do, like "Argo" and "Slumdog Millionaire" in recent years,
usually go on to win the Academy Award.
According to Erik Davis, managing editor at Fandango,
"Oppenheimer really is the favourite to win best picture." Davis
praised the film for its accomplishments on multiple fronts, including its
narrative, cast performances, cinematography, editing, and score. "I'm not
sure if we've had an overwhelming favourite like 'Oppenheimer' in a
while," Davis said.
"Oppenheimer's" various components come together to make it a better
film than it would have been alone, which helps it cross the threshold for best
picture, according to Davis. "I believe this film achieves at an
Oscar-winning level overall."
Vazquez
echoed that sentiment.
"'Oppenheimer' is a lock for me," the woman
declared. "It seems to touch on a lot of different levels. That kind of
movie, the writing, and the performance are all excellent. People will
occasionally say, "I don't understand it," despite the fact that this
is an issue that everyone can relate to in indie darling films."
Nine other films, including "American Fiction," "Anatomy of a
Fall," "Barbie," "The Holdovers," "Killers of the
Flower Moon," "Maestro," "Past Lives," "Poor
Things," and "The Zone of Interest," will compete for the best
picture award alongside "Oppenheimer."
Analysts don't think any of those films can top Christopher
Nolan's film, and they point out that "Oppenheimer" losing in this
category would likely be the biggest surprise of the evening.
It's one of those adaptable flicks that, in my opinion, appealed to everyone.
We always tend to go towards historical dramas, too," noted Variety TV
critic Aramide Tinubu, who is also rooting for "Oppenheimer" to win.
"The Holdovers is a considerably calmer movie, while being somewhat
historically set and intriguing as it was. In America, we adore a good
blockbuster."
Though "Oppenheimer" has eleven Oscar nominations,
"The Holdovers," Alexander Payne's nostalgic crowd-pleaser, Justine
Triet's multilingual court drama "Anatomy of a fall," or Yorgos
Lanthimos' quirky sci-fi comedy "Poor Things" are still possible
underdogs for best picture.
"The most intriguing aspect of this year's race is that it's impossible to
anticipate what will finish in second place," stated Joyce Eng, senior
editor of Gold Derby, an industry blog that specializes in predictions for the
Hollywood awards and an entertainment journalist. Eng co-hosts the podcast
"Gold Derby Show" with Christopher Rosen, the site's digital
director, in which the two talk about and predict the upcoming awards season.
Rosen noted that "Oppenheimer's" expected victory
in the best picture competition stems not only from the film's impressive run
through the awards circuit thus far, but also from its inherent qualities as a
winner. It was a historical biopic as well as a box office and critical
triumph. Both Eng and Rosen stated that the movie's early reputation as a
potential dark horse likely contributed to its appeal.
"In terms of box office and coverage, I believe it
trailed 'Barbie' by a significant margin, at least over the summer. Rosen
referred to "Oppenheimer" as a "great consensus movie on top of
being the steamroller," saying that "it had the polish of an underdog
even though it definitely wasn't."
"Its status as a front-runner hasn't caused any weariness either,"
added Eng. "I believe it's crucial."
Who
will win the Oscar for best actor?
Just like with the best film contest, most experts predict
the winner of the best actor competition. According to them, Cillian Murphy,
who played the movie's namesake scientist in "Oppenheimer," is the
favourite to win this honour because of the film's enormous box office success
as well as Murphy's prior victories at the SAG and BAFTA awards, which show
that members of the industry who vote for Oscars also support him.
With these two very significant honors, Murphy has made it
quite difficult to oppose him, according to Eng. "I believe that gives the
idea that this race is closer than it might actually be," said Cillian.
"The only thing Cillian has lost in terms of televised award events is the
Critics Choice to Paul Giamatti."
Vazquez observed that "people enjoy a story that is founded in fact"
and pointed out that "someone playing a real-life figure has won eight out
of the last 13 best actor Oscars."
According to Rosen, "it seems like playing a real-life
figure always gives you a leg up, especially for best actor." "And
simply because 'Oppenheimer' is the front-runner for best picture, there's
really no excuse for Cillian Murphy to have lost this. And he's definitely
proven that by winning the preceding honors. Therefore, I believe it would be
quite unexpected if he lost on Oscar night. While by no means unprecedented, it
was unexpected nonetheless."
Giamatti and Murphy are both nominated in this category for
their critically acclaimed leading roles as resentful boarding school teachers
in "The Holdovers." Both veterans are first-time candidates for the
Oscar in the best actor category. Giamatti's nomination for the category came
nearly two decades after he was notably overlooked for his performance in
Payne's 2004 comedy-drama "Sideways."
This has led some to argue that Giamatti's triumph for best actor is both
deserved and realistic, given that he and Murphy shared the Globes' best actor
prize for dramatic and comedic acting before going on to become each other's
fiercest rivals for the remainder of the awards season.
According to Davis, "I think it's obviously a two-man
contest in this area because both men have won this prize at numerous awards
presentations." "Oppenheimer is a strong front-runner and has
accomplished a lot this year, which is perhaps why Cillian Murphy has triumphed
over Paul Giamatti a little bit more."
Colman Domingo for "Rustin," Jeffrey Wright for "American
Fiction," and Bradley Cooper for "Maestro" are also vying for
the Oscar for best actor.
Who
will win the Oscar for best actress?
The Oscar race for best actress this year is shaping up to
be one of the most contentious ones yet, with Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone
tied for first place for their performances in "Poor Things" and
"Killers of the Flower Moon," which were both hailed as the films'
highlights.
"These two performances are significantly distinct from each other,
similar to the actor category," Davis remarked. Lily Gladstone's portrayal
is far softer than Emma Stone's, who gives a more theatrical, outlandish, and
lively performance. It is far more inward-looking."
Before Stone went on to win at the Critics Choice Awards and
the BAFTAs, both women won best actress prizes at the Golden Globes in
different categories for comedy and drama. Gladstone made history by winning
the SAG Awards and became the first actor of Indigenous descent to win the
accolade. If she prevails, she will also become the first performer of Native
American descent to win an Oscar in this category.
Lily Gladstone poses with her Golden Globe award for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama, for "Killers of the Flower Moon,"
"I'd be thrilled to watch Emma Stone take home another
Oscar. Without a doubt," remarked Vazquez. Does she merit a second Oscar
for this performance? Yes, since her performance in the movie is just
ridiculous in terms of both physicality and emotion combined with words. If
Lily Gladstone hadn't entered the race, I would have loved to see her win from
that perspective.
Comments
Post a Comment